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Archive for January, 2011

Groupon vs. newspaper? No contest!

Tuesday, January 25th, 2011

I tried a new restaurant in Fort Lauderdale thanks to a Groupon offer that I purchased last week, and in the process found out something fascinating about the restaurant’s experience.  It started with the mom of a Groupon executive, and ended with 431 people coming in the door … and the restaurant owner comparing the results to a coupon she advertised in the local newspaper.

Let’s start at the beginning.  When I got the offer this week for On The Menu Café,  I jumped on the deal. The restaurant had two things going for it:  It was two blocks from my favorite comic shop, and it served organic food (which I didn’t know until I read it in the offer).

When I spoke with the owner, she told me that a Groupon exec from Chicago was visiting his family in Fort Lauderdale when his mother suggested they visit the new restaurant.   He did, and thought the food was so good that he wanted to help the new business by sending a few hundred customers their way.  Groupon normally doesn’t take new restaurants.  The number of Groupon walk-ins can be overwhelming if the restaurant is not experienced enough to handle it.  The exec thought this particular restaurant could, and that the experience would be great for Groupon customers. (Having eaten there, I agree.  The food is exquisite.  It’s the kind of place you hope catches on so that you can keep returning.   I checked in on Facebook to help spread the word, too. )

I asked the owner about her experience with Groupon.  The deal was offered on Jan. 17th, and they sold 431 Groupons.  She said that they’ve already, in just one week, had a few people come back a second time.  Regarding the visits when a Groupon was redeemed, she said they hadn’t made or lost any money, and that she was very happy to know that 431 people would try her food, maybe more if you count the friends they bring along.

Here’s the clincher – and a bad one at that for the local newspaper, the Sun-Sentinel.  She compared her Groupon experience to the $1,000 she spent with the paper to put a Buy 1 Get 1 Free coupon in the Clipper.  She said four coupons were redeemed, costing her $250 per table served.

When I got home, I read an article about Groupon on Mashable.com in which founder Andrew Mason indicated that he thought Groupon knock-offs were having trouble reaching high quality advertisers when compared to Groupon.  I won’t argue with this.  I see Groupon as the Rolls-Royce of daily deals, but there’s a huge share of market that can be profitably captured in the local deals space when you compare the performance gap between a locally distributed coupon book to Groupon.  The urgency and scarcity associated with these daily deals, reinforced by a large e-mail database of deal seekers, make them very attractive to local publishers.

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Group Deals: The Advent of A New Marketing Norm

Tuesday, January 11th, 2011

Maybe you haven’t noticed, but media companies have changed their strategy of charging for advertising.  If it continues, the business model for media might change forever.

In short, the allure of group deals has allowed local businesses to offload the risk of advertising onto the media company.  Advertising has become “free,” and the media company gets paid only when a sale is made.  It’s a wet dream for a lot of newspapers in the automotive and real estate categories:  Imagine getting a 10% commission when a dealership sold a $25,000 car, a 1% commission when an agent sold a $250,000 house.

If this continues – and I bet it will for quite some time – it will transform media companies into marketing partners. The very sound of that gives the average ad-sales person the fantods.

I have no doubt this trend will accelerate in 2010 as more media companies get sucked into advertising for free, betting they’ll make their money on the sale.  The numbers continue to spiral skyward. In fact, in 2010, somewhere in the neighborhood of 37 billion coupons were made available online (“dropped” to use the old terminology).  This is a 54% increase from the 24 billion we tracked in 2009.  That’s huge.

The face value of those coupons also saw an uptick – about 21% by our estimates.  The face value of an online coupon went from $2.80 to $3.40.  When you consider all the Groupon-like two-for-one deals out there for $25 or even $50 apiece, that per-coupon average may seem way off.  But Groupon represents only about 10% of last year’s $1 billion online couponing marketplace.   Still, online coupons hold a face value that’s twice that of the average coupon.  For coupons that come in the mail or packaged in your Sunday newspaper, the face value is slightly more than $1.50.

So the bandwagon rolls on. Everybody’s getting in the two-for-one, half-price group deals.  In the past few days, Local.com announced the acquisition of a group-deals program, and Triton Media announced a partnership with Deal Current to offer something to radio stations.   I typed in “group deals” on Google News just now and got a few dozen results – from an airport shuttle company launching a deals program on its own website to a Kansas University architecture alum bringing his self-developed “deals” program to three Kansas cities.

Group deals, half-price and two-for-one offers are here to stay.  It’s a distinct shift of risk from the advertiser to the media company that I doubt will be reversed.  Advertisers are less willing to write a check for a flight of commercials or a double-truck ad in the newspaper, hoping it will drive sales.   They seem more willing to give up a portion of the sale to the media company – meaning they’re not willing to gamble on potential sales anymore.

They don’t represent the death of advertising as we know it, but it certainly feels like the advent of a new marketing norm.

Borrell Coupon Forecast

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