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Archive for the ‘Conference’ Category

Meet the New Competitors

Thursday, March 17th, 2011
By Peter H. Smyth – Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Greater Media, Inc.

I have just returned from New York, where I attended the Borrell Local Online Advertising Conference.  This was my first time at this particular get-together and I was both impressed and amazed by what I saw and heard.

Among the nearly 1,000 participants, I was able to count only a literal handful of radio types; that was distressing.  But I was equally impressed by the number, quality and determination of the other attendees from television, newspapers and pureplay online companies.  If I ever questioned the size and vibrancy of the interactive space, all doubts were eliminated by a look down the roster of attendees.   It included companies who are aggressively moving forward with creating and selling new online products to radio’s bread and butter advertisers – local retail advertisers.   From online deals, directories and websites to online and social video, these are new and aggressive competitors calling on our clients.  If we ever doubted that we are competing as a local media company, this gathering dispelled that doubt.

Some of the most productive time was spent listening to Clayton Christensen of Harvard Business School and author of the “The Innovator’s Dilemma” about his theory of disruptive innovation.   His work for years has focused on why smart business people make seemingly dumb decisions.   He pointed to the US steel industry, which allowed the mini-mills to take a huge share of their business away.  He also commented on US car manufacturers, who made a series of ill-fated decisions when faced with the import challenge.

The obvious question is “why”?  These are smart people; why are their decisions so easy to second guess in hindsight?   That’s where the disruption comes in.  Christensen defines it as a competitor who attracts different customers with a different business model that introduces different performance criteria than those valued by the established market.   Think Monster.com instead of print job classifieds; think Hulu.com instead of your local NBC station; think Pandora or Slacker instead of your call letters.   Those thoughts should give you pause.

As new competitors emerge, established businesses can tell themselves a whole variety of half truths.   They tell themselves the new competitor is only nibbling around the edges of their market, that they are small fish who will never replace them; that to compete in these new arenas will result in nothing but a margin hit.  Business leaders tend to focus on the most efficient use of resources and on the research, which – as Christensen aptly pointed out – can only speak about the past, not the future.

In order to survive and thrive in the digital future, I learned that we must change our mindset and realize that our future business is going to look quite different than today’s.  We will not adopt the proper long term strategy until we start asking the right questions.   We start with figuring out what unmet demand we need to fulfill for our customers, both listeners and advertisers.   Those demands are changing around us; have we kept up with our customers’ thinking?  Or have they adopted new ways of solving their problems?  As Christensen put it, “what is the job the customer hires us to do?”

I was privileged to participate on a panel “What Media Executives Must Do Next” with Christensen and several other executives.   In our conversation, I mentioned my strong belief that we need to have the right people in the right places to move forward, and we need to ask ourselves whether we have the resources in place to move ahead.  As important as the leadership question is, even more important is the need to educate our employees up and down the entire organization about how we must evolve and what that mandate means for their job.  Without an overall understanding of the challenge, we cannot innovate at the pace and depth that the future requires.

As we spoke, Christensen made a comment that I have taken back home with me.  He talked about the tendency in business to search for the one big thing that will solve our problem.   He disagreed with that idea and challenged the group to think of how people are using our products (I think: radio stations), and ask what the problem is that they are trying to solve by listening to us.  He believes that there are many profitable opportunities to solve customer problems for them if we can figure out what those problems are.

And that really is the business that we need to be in:  solution providers.  Now, how can we get there from here and what do we need to change and learn to get there?  These are huge, critically important questions that I cannot answer today, but I will be thinking about them constantly as we make our way through this period of disruptive innovation.

I’d love to her your thoughts about this; drop me a note at askpeter@greatermedia.com.

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Thought bubbles from the crowd

Monday, March 7th, 2011

Our conference in New York last week created quite a buzz.  We had 1,578 attendees, two-thirds of whom watched via live streaming.  I think that must be some sort of record.

In the spirit of the Internet, rather than trying to be one of those pompous “thought leaders,” I thought I’d let the attendees furnish the highlights.  I’ve distilled more than 400 Twitter comments into a few dozen that seemed the most poignant.  Their 140-character thought bubbles appeared as they listened to more than 50 presenters.  (To see all of the comments, go to www.twitter.com and search #loac2011.  To sort through them, add the speaker’s name or a topic after the hashtag, such as “#loac2011 Christensen,” “#loac2011 hyperlocal” or “#loac2011 mobile.”

I’ve classified them into four categories:  Innovation & Media Strategy, Mobile, Hyperlocal, and Companies.

Innovation & Media Strategy

  • “These traditional media panelists saying right things.  I’m skeptical about their ability to execute and actually create change.”
  • “Shelly Palmer:  Nobody is going to get a raise by innovating. We get paid by making our numbers. At the heart of the local media prob.”
  • “Even the most efficient dinosaur is still extinct: Prather”
  • “There is no such thing as breaking news on the 5 o’clock news anymore. Somebody broke the news from an iPhone 4 hours ago: Bob Prather”
  • “Recurring message: Digital media must have its own separate business unit to survive.”
  • “Leveraging business models of past is foolish…need to understand the job to be done and build new ones…Clay Christensen.”
  • “Business models evolve; business units don’t:  Clay Christensen.”
  • “Big companies survive biz disruption by setting up a separate biz unit, giving it a charter to kill the parent.”
  • “Convergence is difficult to implement at best, and in a lot of ways a myth:  Gordon Borrell”
  • “Promotions now disrupting advertising according to Borrell. Represent 59.7% of all marketing dollars today.”
  • “Distuptive innovations: Big guys more toward highest profit. Little guys nibble at the niches until there is no whole piece left.”
  • “Today’s consumer really doesn’t care about the media company.  They just get what they want and move on.”
  • “Media is becoming a platform for specific audiences, not just content aggregated and pushed out for all to sort through.”
  • “Powerful point:  Shelly Palmer said you don’t need a website, you need a database.”
  • “Love this line from Shelly Palmer: Kids consider email a formal letter.”

Mobile

  • “Check-ins are very low on the mobile totem pole.”
  • “Almost half of all mobile phone/Internet use occurs at home.”
  • “17% of mobile users have shown a clerk in-store a picture of a product on their phone.”
  • “Mobile CTRs up to 20x more on HopStop mobile vs. website.”
  • “Don’t let crappy ads ruin your mobile site.  It teaches users to ignore ads, says Greg Stuart”
  • “2010-2020 is the decade of mobile:  Ben Wood, Google”
  • “75% of marketers say they will increase spending on mobile in 2011.”
  • “1.5 billion computers, but 1.8 billion smartphones.”
  • “Ben Wood, Google: Local is at the heart of user search.  1 in 5 searches have local intent. 1/3 mobile searches have local intent.”
  • “Mobile is very likely the missing piece for local. Local online advertising seems antiquated at this point.”

Hyperlocal

  • “Warren Webster says investing in qualified journalists will set Patch apart with hyperlocal.”
  • “Rick Blair says a low-cost operations model sets Examiner.com apart from newspaper models.”
  • “Wow.  Examiner.com – 243 markets, 70k contributors, 3k articles/day, 25MM monthly uniques, 75MM monthly pageviews.”
  • “Advertising vs. promotions:  Patch seems to be leaning towards promotions.”
  • “Webster:  Patch hired more professional journalists in 2010 than any other media entity.”
  • “Gilbert: If all you do is write for print, you are not a good journalist. Amen!”
  • “Shelly Palmer:  There is no such thing as hyperlocal, only hyperpersonal.  I don’t care about location, I care about ME.”

Companies

  • “David Krantz at AT&T Interactive:  Print $3 billion and shrinking; interactive $1 billion and growing.”
  • “Ouch.  Chip Perry:  76% of media dollars being spent on media that are driving 8% of car sales.”
  • “Heath Clarke of Local.com says self-serve subscription model didn’t make enough money.”
  • “Michael Golden: NYT regional publishers disagree on whether to institute online paywall.”
  • “Michael Golden says NY Times wants to be the shopping mall.”
  • “Local Mazda dealership tracked 100 sales to a Facebook check-in deal over a period of a few weeks.”
  • “Miller: Groupon used to be all about the transactions.  Now we focus heavily on the relationships.”
  • “Patch has acquired Outside.in.  The two CEOs share the stage at the Borrell conference.”
  • “Yahoo email login page brand takeover ad unit will be locally targeted next month.  This could be powerful local branding ad.”

Lots of great thoughts there!  If you missed the conference, don’t worry.  We videotaped the live stream and will make it available until April 5.  To see it, go to www.borrellassociates.com/loac2011/onlineticket.php.

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5 Things To Do Now

Thursday, September 30th, 2010

We ended our 2010 Local Mobile Advertising Conference last week with “Five things to do next” for those trying to tackle the mobile space. Prior to compiling the list, Colby Atwood, Pete Conti and I conferred around a baby grand piano in the hotel lobby and quickly came to agreement. One of them is watching a must-see video.

As media analysts we struggle to make our advice practical.  As I’ve said before, we have the easy job:  We say smart things, then go home, leaving our clients with the difficult task of implementing everything. We try to remember that.  But we don’t buy into the vogue ideas of “convergence” and ”multiplatform” opportunities that other consulting firms and many of our clients seem to be embracing.  Many of the recommendations swirl around Clark Gilbert’s keynote presentation, which generated a lot of buzz.  You could see an immediate uptick in the Twittering via hashtag #bamobi when he started speaking last week about separate — not converged — staffing.

With that need to offer actionable advice squarely in mind, here’s what we’re recommending to those eager to win in the mobile advertising space:

1.  Become a fervent evangelist within your company. To assist you, we are making the most dynamic presentation of the conference available on video to everyone. It’s the presentation by Clark Gilbert, CEO of Deseret Media.  We want you to show it to the top people in your company.  We don’t want you to forward the link.  We want you to show this in-person in a 90-minute meeting with your CEO, chairman, board of directors, publishers, GMs, CFOs or anyone who is an executive decisionmaker.  If you wish — and if our schedule permits, one of us will make ourselves available via live conference call afterwards to discuss the implications. No charge. Yes, we think it’s THAT important to the media industry.  Clark’s presentation was nothing short of stunning.  We want you to get the boss’s undivided attention. If you need fodder to sell the concept, just tell them that a Harvard Business School professor-turned-local-media-CEO believes that 9% of media companies will survive in the next decade, and that this video describes how to ensure that your company might be one of them.

2.  Think about your career/consider finding another job. Pound the desk for more staffing and expenses for mobile initiatives in 2010.  This is your chance to lead your company.  No one doubts that mobile will be a huge opportunity in the coming years, so hitch your wagon to that star.  If your company doesn’t “get it” or turns your down, consider leaving. It is highly likely that you’re in a dead-end career if your company doesn’t see the opportunity through your eyes.  Maybe it’s you.  Maybe it’s them.  If it were 1910 and you were working for a blacksmith who didn’t believe automobiles would overtake horses, I don’t think your career would fare well staying around to convince the blacksmith.

3. Fix your organizational structure. Colby Atwood believes (and we all agree) that you can’t allow your legacy media folks to control what you’re doing with mobile. They see the opportunity through a legacy-media lens and will apply values and standards that are good for their legacy media jobs, but not for the new mobile environment.  Who reports to whom?  We don’t believe you will grow as fast as you can if mobile opportunities are determined or heavily influences by people other than those who are squarely focused on mobile opportunities.  You need people you can fire if they don’t meet your mobile advertising goals.  Here’s the litmus test: Would your sales manager fire a rep if he made 200% of his radio, yellow pages, TV or newspaper budget last quarter but 0% of his mobile advertising budget?  If the legacy media people are in charge, they’ll be sending that rep to Cancun. But if your company were serious about the mobile space, that rep would be fired — or at least penalized.  Convergence sales are fine, but they won’t get you where you need to be.  I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again and again and again:  You won’t get anywhere until you have people you can fire for not meeting their online/mobile goals.

4.  Invest in database marketing. Pete Conti, our guerrilla marketing genius, is the most fervent advocate of this. Hire a database marketing manager or staff if you don’t have them in place already.  Your tech guy isn’t the one.  Your whipsmart marketing manager probably isn’t the one.  The person needs to know about databases, how to segment lists, and how to deliver targeted advertising to individuals.  Walter Hussman, publisher of the Arkansas Democrat Gazette, stopped by the hotel to have lunch with us and stunned all of us by talking about the need for “mass media” to migrate to a “one-to-one” delivery model for advertising.  He wants to deliver advertising on mobile devices to individuals based on their Claritas profiles, not based on what they happen to be reading.  That can’t be accomplished without a database marketing person.  Hire one.  Or two.

5.  Optimize everything for mobile. If our projections are true, nearly two-thirds of all online advertising will be viewed on a mobile device – whether it’s an ipad, laptop, or smartphone. All websites should be mobile-ready right now. Prep all your classifieds, video, basic HTML, photos, animations, etc. for mobile delivery. Examine the opportunity for App-delivered content, but it seems likely that mobile browsers will continue to be used very heavily as people try to access the current web on their small screens.  If your site is difficult to navigate or see, it’s the equivalent of downtown retailers failing to anticipate the massive movement to the suburbs in the 1950s and 1960s, and falling victim to strip malls.

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