Archive for the ‘News’ Category

Is CareerBuilder the Super Bowl Winner?

Thursday, January 28th, 2010

During the Super Bowl you’ll see a commercial for one of the Top 5 local online advertising companies. That fact won’t be touted in the commercial, and you’ll be too deep into a belly laugh to realize that what you just saw represents an amazing success story for the newspaper industry. (If you’d like your belly laugh now, read on and I’ll give you a link to the commercial.)

The company is CareerBuilder, which has defied both gravity and business history to become the nation’s No. 1 recruitment Web site in terms of revenue.  Anyone with an understanding of disruptive technology would never have predicted this.  CareerBuilder has been tied to the newspaper industry via ownership (Gannett, McClatchy and Tribune) and by on-the-ground management. Everyone thought ownership by big newspaper companies meant that CareerBuilder’s destiny was to protect print help-wanted advertising, which peaked at $8.7 billion 10 years ago and didn’t even break $1 billion last year.  A decade ago, the likelihood of CareerBuilder’s failure against the unfettered Monster.com was high.

They were wrong.  Last year CareerBuilder hit about $550 million, 10% more than Monster.  According to our records, CareerBuilder was the fifth largest revenue-producer of all local online advertising companies we track.

Largest_local_advertising_companiesIf anything is worthy of a case study, it’s the determination of a few newspaper companies to become the biggest digital cannibal of all to their own recruitment advertising.  The war between the industry-owned CareerBuilder and its archenemy Monster.com is an amazing story worth deep analysis.  And after 15 years, CareerBuilder is definitely in the lead.

Perhaps the greatest expert on all this is Ira Gordon.   Ten years ago he became the Benedict Arnold of the newspaper industry, having spent 19 years helping the industry build and protect its recruitment advertising base, only to switch sides in November 1999 to become a vice president at Monster, the industry’s arch-enemy.

Shortly after that, Ira began showing up in local markets on behalf of Monster. He started off the free seminar for local recruiters with a flip charts showing that town’s newspaper circulation (inevitably down) and another showing its recruitment advertising rates (inevitably up).

While skirmishes between the newspaper industry and Monster had taken place since 1995, Ira’s move – and the deep loss of jobs during the dot-com recession of 2000 – marked the official start of the war.  He’s now a recruitment consultant in New York, and he now believes that CareerBuilder “has got to be called a success.”  With Monster having a formidable brand and being so close in revenues, however, he comes short of declaring CareerBuilder the winner.  “I’d call it a tie.”

“There’s absolutely no doubt that CareerBuilder has also catapulted itself into the No. 1 position,” he said.  “But that doesn’t necessarily mean their success will continue.”  Niche boards, like those run by trade associations, could be a significant threat to both job boards. “What I try to say,” Ira said, “is that niche boards have a natural audience that gravitate toward them.  The only thing the niche boards have to do is get their act together.  They haven’t done that … yet.”

Still, I believe it’s an amazing success story for the newspaper industry.  I can be a pretty funny guy during my presentations, and having spoken to thousands of newspaper executives over the past decade, I can tell you they are the least likely to give up a laugh.  They’re generally a serious crowd compared with the TV people (great hair, best dressed), radio people (more Hawaiian shirts per capita) and Internet people (more art or piercings per square inch of skin).

Which makes the Super Bowl commercials even more amazing.  CareerBuilder represents an example where the newspaper industry really “got it” and stepped out of the way.  You should vote for one of their commercials, and be thankful that some newspaper editor didn’t immediately axe the one marked “too hot for TV.”

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The Wayne Gretzky of Advertising

Friday, January 15th, 2010

When it comes to the future of local advertising, Dave Morgan is someone to watch.  He’s the Wayne Gretzky of the online advertising world – a guy who’s always skating to where the puck will be.  (He even looks like Gretzky.)  And in an interview we did with him recently, I found his thoughts on the future of local media right on the mark.

We interviewed Dave at the Grand Hyatt in New York last month as he was attending an advertising conference where the CEOs of Yahoo and AOL had just spent a lot of time talking about their biggest advertising opportunity:  You guessed it, “local.”

Dave will be back at the Grand Hyatt next month as a keynote speaker at our 2010 Local Online Advertising Conference.  You can see our interview with him on YouTube, or learn more about the conference here.

Dave has been at the forefront (in front of it actually) of ad-serving systems such as 24/7 RealMedia and Tacoda, which he founded and then sold to AOL for $247 million two years ago. He’s steeped in local media.  When I met him 15 years ago, he was general counsel for the Pennsylvania Newspaper Association looking for a way to get step into the Internet skating rink.

So where is local media headed?  “All too often,” he says, “we’ve always seen local as about channels – local is newspapers or local is radio or local is television or local is directories. But that’s not how things are happening in the emerging media economy.  It’s now more about the customers in the market as they’re trying to reach local and they’re trying to understand now how they work with all the different touch points to reach consumers and for the merchants to be able to best exploit their marketing dollars.”

Thought Dave is right, it’s not an easy concept for traditional media companies to grasp.  That’s why we’ve asked the people who are following that path – the Yodles, Local.coms, Reply.coms and other fast-growing local online advertising companies – to address the conference.  They’re offering local advertisers multiple touch points that in the end makes the phone ring or drives store traffic.

Dave believes we’re at a crucial point in the evolution of local media.  “It’s a really important time,” he says, “here in new York City, essentially the headquarrters of advertisers and marketing the world, to have a really important conference focused on local.”

I look forward to hearing more from Dave, and to seeing you there.

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The Jeff Jarvis Interview

Friday, January 8th, 2010

I had a discussion with author and CUNY professor Jeff Jarvis recently and was struck by his passion about hyperlocal journalism on the Web – something I’ve never felt had a sustainable business model.  You can see the interview on our YouTube Channel.

Jeff’s passion reminded me of a book I sent last year to Borrell Associates employees.  It was titled, “It’s Not What You Sell, It’s What You Stand For.” The book describes companies that not only have great products and services, but also a purpose.  Our purpose:  to save that noble enterprise called journalism.  As corny as it may sound, it’s what we believe we are doing.  We’re helping local media companies survive financially so they can continue to serve and protect their communities.

Jeff shares that purpose, though I must admit he wins the prize for being more passionate about it.

Jeff Jarvis discusses hyperlocal site profitability

Jeff Jarvis discusses hyperlocal site profitability

Jeff heads up the Interactive Journalism Program at the City University of New York.  I spoke with him in New York a few weeks ago as we prepared for his keynote address at our conference next month.  (We just posted a list of attending companies – we’ve got quite a diverse crowd interested in this topic.)   Jeff has always expressed a great clarity and strong opinion on the topic of journalism.  When I asked, “Why are you so passionate about this?” his response was, “Because I believe in journalism. Because I care about journalism.  I teach journalism.  I want journalism to not just survive, but to prosper and grow in the new world. And I believe it can.”

I believe it can, too.  But I don’t believe that it can survive on the Web without a viable business model.   And if it doesn’t, and if more newspapers shut down or local broadcast TV stations cease their newscasts because they’re too expensive to produce, the bright light of good journalism will get dimmer and perhaps become so intertwined with commercial messages as to become powerless.

Is the Web a viable replacement?  Can it — as Jeff says — not only survive on the Web, but prosper and grow?  I think so.  And I think the Web might be an even more powerful educator and equalizer in society.

But it won’t get there unless we make it financially viable.  Jeff’s panel at our conference includes some people who are generating enough revenue to not only keep the sites running and pay editors and journalists, but also turn a profit.  We’ll be posting a video interview on our YouTube channel next week with one of them — a remarkable story from Fisher Broadcasting seeing financial success with dozens of hyperlocal sites in Seattle.

These are the people with a purpose, and I’m very eager to see them succeed.

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Is Google going down?

Sunday, November 1st, 2009

So what sets our Top 3 choices — Local.com, Yodle and Yellowbook.com — apart from the pack in terms of revenue growth this year?

These companies have defied gravity by focusing on selling the fastest growing ad categories:  search advertising, online directory listings, and streaming video. They also act as marketing consultants and can help small businesses with all the online marketing tools and advice they might need. They’ll put together a Web site for your business, offer complete analytics, online upgrades through a dashboard or if the advertiser gets stuck — they can just pick up the phone and talk to someone.

Google's in the crosshairs

Setting sights on Google

These companies are poised to beat the pants off traditional media because they see the gap that very few legacy outlets have been willing to commit to — the service gap. I mean, at most newspaper sites if a small business says to the account executive, “I need a way to collect e-mail,” the AE will probably send them to Constant Contact.  The right response should be, “Let’s set up a promotion to collect e-mails then we start mailing your list with specials.”

But, how can a traditional media outlet even compete, when according to our research, barely 60% of them have an online-only AE? That other 40% are trudging into advertisers’ offices with worries about cannibalization of the traditional product.

Back to the Top 3 — these company’s models are very similar and focus on soup-to-nuts interactive marketing for the small business. They have an actual phone number posted on their Web site. (Just try and find a phone number for Google.) In fact, this service-oriented model could disrupt Google, because small businesses need a figurative hand-holding. There is no face of Google and if I were them I’d begin to worry about that. They become vulnerable as advertisers begin to find other companies willing to lend a hand to pull them out of the service gap.

When I go into a market for a local media site and make an online marketing presentation to their potential advertisers, the small businesses are packing in and they are craving to have their questions about online marketing answered. They want to know what their business peers are spending, they want to know why their display ad doesn’t get clicked through and they want to know about the ROI. It is clear that you have to show a small business the whole online marketing picture and that’s exactly what these Top 3 are doing.

Plus these three are going after the most lucrative online ad spending business categories. Our own research data has identified that in most local markets these are lawyers, healthcare providers and home improvement, to name a few. But too many traditional media outlets in local markets are still calling on their traditional advertisers, which are not usually in these categories.

The Top 3 have been doing their research and now are methodically going out to hunt and to plug the service gap in local online advertising. They may have Google in their crosshairs.

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For Whom the Bell Tolls

Wednesday, October 7th, 2009

A seminal event occured on Wall Street last week. At precisely 9:30 a.m. on Oct. 8, Heath Clarke, the CEO of Local.com, rang the NASDAQ opening bell. In so doing, he essentially rang in a new theme on Wall Street: Local is the new black.

Heath Clarke, Chairman & CEO, Local.com

Heath Clarke, Chairman & CEO, Local.com

In a report we released a few hours later, Local.com is listed as one of the Top 3 fastest-growing local online advertising companies in North America. This is a remarkable feat in a year when ad sales are phenomenally depressed for seemingly everyone else. Yet Clarke’s company is seeing growth of 34% this year on revenues that are expected to top $50 million.

Internet advertising down? Not for Local.com, which is aggressively mining the lucrative new frontier of “local.” Clarke’s company – and others like it, such as Yodle (with a whopping 210% growth rate this year) and Yellowbook.com (with a 98% growth rate) — are the ones to study.

I’ve invited the top digital executives at some of these companies to speak at our conference in February. I want to learn more about how these companies are doing it.  The report we released last week shows local Internet advertising rising at a rate of about 12 percent this year. Many legacy media companies who are suffering double-digit declines in online sales growth will find that hard to believe. But as that NASDAQ bell clanged and the trading began, it may as well have been an alarm clock for them, and for anyone else trying to mine digital gold in the local hills.

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Embracing TV talent on the tiny screen

Tuesday, September 29th, 2009

If legacy media companies were conservative parents, David and Michael Castello would be the beguiled rock stars leading the kids astray.

The hip brothers own six “city.com” domains in Tennessee, California and Florida, as well as sites like Whisky.com, Chili.com and Bootleg.com. They just scooped up weatherman Tim Ross, formerly from local NBC affiliate WSMV-TV.  Ross has joined the talent at the Castello’s Nashville.com. Once voted the most popular TV weatherman in Texas, Ross said the Castellos have “given me the freedom to stretch my creative wings.”

The sucking sound of the Internet has struck in other cities where personalities have moved from the small screen to the tiny screen.  It’s almost as if these anchors stood up, yelled “I’m mad as hell and I’m not going to take it any more!” and left.  In reality, their contracts weren’t renewed as the local TV market downsized.

Nashville.com, a Castello Property

Nashville.com, a Castello Property

In Charlotte, popular weather anchor Terri Bennett lost her job and promptly bought billboards around town to lure her audience to terribennett.com, an ad-supported site where she provides information on the weather and conservation.  In Charleston, S.C., longtime WCBD anchor Warren Peper got canned and wound up doing videos for Charleston.net, the site owned by the Charleston Post & Courier.

Back to the Castellos. These guys bear some watching. One of their sites makes more money than any locally owned media site in that market. They do it without a lick of broadcast or print cross-promotion, a base of advertisers from which to up-sell, an existing staff to sell it, or a massive bank of news, weather or sports to splay across its Web site. Hundreds of independent sites are competing heartily and doing it well, from Myrtlebeach.com to Toledo.com Branson.com to SanDiego.com.

While they often get snubbed by legacy media companies because they aren’t very attractive or don’t contain serious news, their hearts are tuned precisely to the needs of advertisers and consumers.  They are the Craig Newmarks of the city.com business.  Kinda geeky, very little design skill, and perhaps more lucky than brilliant.

How do they do it?  I’ve invited Mike and David Castello to address our conference in New York next February. They’ve graciously agreed, and I intend to let them speak about WestPalmBeach.com, PalmSprings.com, Nashville.com and the other sites they own. I also intend to grill them on whether these sites are truly making any money, or whether this is all just smoke and mirrors.

Hope to see you there. It’ll be a very interesting session.

Borrell Associates Conference Feb 8-9, 2010

Borrell Associates Conference Feb 8-9, 2010

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Local Advertising is Sold, Not Bought

Tuesday, June 23rd, 2009

Yahoo announced Monday it was launching a self-serve system for small and medium-sized businesses to create and purchase banner ads. Yahoo is filled with bright people managing a viable product, but this isn’t one of their shining moments.

The effort miscalculates one important aspect of SMBs: They aren’t particularly savvy when it comes to advertising, nor do they have much time to devote to it. They’re too busy fixing leaks, preparing legal briefs, conducting LASIK surgery, cleaning houses, or running the cash register. Ask any of the 93,000 local ad reps out there.

The fact is, local advertising is sold, not bought. Every local advertiser suffers what I call the John Wannamaker Syndrome, which is the nagging belief that half of his advertising works, and half doesn’t, and he doesn’t know which is which. So the vulnerability of those expenditures is always high.

The alluring dream that Yahoo is succumbing to is that the dissatisfaction will lead to “I can do it myself.” Yes, it will, until the John Wannamaker Syndrome strikes again.

The fact that churn rates on self-serve search advertising averages 50% per year is testimony to this effect (see our latest report, “The Economics of Search Advertising). Absent a “trusted” friend — the local sales rep — any self-serve advertising is likely to be a short-lived business opportunity with SMBs.

Yahoo has a very viable product and under constant pressure to develop new strategies to enhance and grow its display advertising capabilities. This latest move, unfortunately, isn’t quite in line with what SMBs need.

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These Guys Are Wrong

Tuesday, May 5th, 2009

After reading Warren Buffett’s remarks in the Wall Street Journal (“Buffett Sees ‘Unending Losses’ for Many Newspapers”), I am amazed by some of the prognostications rattling around the media about the future of newspapers. Besides Mr. Buffett’s remarks, I heard Ken Doctor (Outsource.com) say that “all newspapers” were looking at 20 percent loss in ad revenue this year, while he was being interviewed on NPR yesterday.

The truth is somewhat less simple. There are more than 2,000 newspapers currently operating in the US. Of these, less than 200 are bigger metro dailies owned by chains. These are truly in trouble – big trouble – due to loss of classified (auto, real estate, and recruitment) and department store ad spending. The status of the other 1800+ is far different. Most of these are smaller newspapers serving suburban, rural, or small town markets. In many cases, they remain the premier local media channel in the markets they serve, since many don’t have local TV or big radio. These papers have seen some erosion in ad revenue, as have all “offline” media. However, they have not seen the dramatic drops played out in the larger markets. For the most part, they never had much of the revenue that’s gone in the first place, so they don’t miss it. Additionally, since they are (still) the premier media outlet, they continue to get the levels of ad revenue they got in the past (or something close to it).

Mr. Buffett, Mr. Doctor, and many others blithely condemn the whole on the basis of evidence relating to the few. Moreover, they forecast a future that is a continual replay of the recent past. Neither position is logical or reasonable. Short answer: these guys are wrong.

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Impact of the Economic Crisis

Monday, April 6th, 2009

The chief executive of a major newspaper company made a profound statement last week. He said he believed the economic crisis was having a positive impact on the business, in that “the number of players will diminish, but the strongest players may be stabler after the crisis.”

The statement came from Mathias Döpfner, who heads the German publisher Axel Springer.

Remarkable things are happening in Europe, where Springer reported its highest profit in its 62-year history. At other European publishers, the Internet delivers about 25% of the revenue (as opposed to about 7% in The States), and one Norwegian newspaper Web site rivals Google as the most popular in the country.

Is this a purely European phenomenon, or are there lessons to be learned in The States?

Europe is more than 20 countries, almost none of which speaks the same language and few have populations larger than a mid-size American state. To compare them with the U.S. and its newspaper challenges is unhelpful. But what this story does underscore is that while the newspaper business model is highly stressed, it isn’t broken.

Indeed, in the history of modern media – the last century, say – no medium has ever been killed off by another. Newspapers still have a strong value proposition – delivered to your doorstep, pre-packaged and convenient, lightweight, disposable, and NOT dependent on electricity to read – perfect for the breakfast table, sitting on a plane, relaxing on the beach. The dying off of dozens of evening newspapers back in the 1970s and 1980s didn’t signal a death knell either.

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Hearst’s Answer to Newspapers’ Dilemma: Charge Readers More – Advertising Age

Tuesday, March 17th, 2009

Is charging more the way to go? Recognizing that the disruptive technology of the Internet has decimated much of what newspapers used to do for people apparently still eludes the management of some newspapers. We’ve seen this mentality many times in history. So, how to stay relevant? Metro papers may need to evolve to hyper local news and distribution.

The mass market daily metros will continue to become less relevant unless they take a radical approach such as having one general metro section and then all local community sections every day. This means a massive overhaul and a segmentation which is hard for a mass-market corporate mentality to grasp since it does not allow for certain scales-of- efficiency and cost-cuts as the basis of the legacy business.

With some exceptions smaller suburban and community newspapers are surviving because of their local relevancy.

PC

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