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Archive for the ‘News’ Category

The Damaging Mantra of Convergence

Monday, March 15th, 2010

I had a spirited panel debate in Orlando recently with three individuals from newspaper companies who were hell-bent on proving that convergence sales forces worked.   When it was over, I was more convinced than ever that local media companies have internal Rasputins who are hypnotizing them into forgetting the past.

Unfortunately, many newspaper companies are on a path to remain, well, newspaper companies. Unlike their predecessors in the 1920s who leapt into radio with separate staffs and in the 1950s who leapt into local TV with separate staffs, many legacy media companies aren’t going to make this particular new media transformation.  They have either not read or completely forgotten the principal lesson of disruptive innovation: When a disruptor comes along, the winner is virtually always the organization that pursues the new venture with separate resources.

A lot of local media companies – newspapers, TV, radio, yellow pages and cable –labor under the delusion that their existing print or broadcast staffs are all they need to tackle the Internet.  While I believe that these legacy staffs can develop online content and sell online advertising, there’s overwhelming proof that they’re merely enhancing the core business, not building a new one. Those who have devoted significant and separate resources to the Internet have a far better chance of creating new value for their organizations.  McClatchy, for instance, derives about half of its online revenue from new, non-print advertisers; Fisher Communications in Seattle is outsourcing much of its sales to a separate telemarketing sales force and now has more than 2,000 advertisers – almost none of them broadcast advertisers.  They are creating new value, not shoring up old value, for their companies.

I’d really like to see newspapers win this game.  I started out as a reporter and editor, and the only board that I sit on is the Suburban Newspapers of America board of directors.   But I’ve seen newspapers continue to believe in this thing called convergence – that their print reporters and print salespeople have all the bandwidth they need to tackle this on their own.  They do not.  They need help, and a lot of it.  I’m afraid for newspapers, which I why I keep pounding the desk on this issue.  Newspapers had a 44% share of all locally spent online advertising back in 2004.  In 2009, they had a 23% share.   Competitors with a different strategy – and a lot more time on their hands to compete – are gobbling up all the growth.

Meanwhile, quite a few publishers are rushing to lock down their Web sites by allowing access only to paying subscribers, or looking for riches in eBooks.  A case in point is the Newport (R.I.) Daily News, a 12,000-circulation paper that started charging $35 a month nine months ago for online access.  The goal, as stated by the publisher, was to “drive people back to the printed paper.”  Another is the 23,000-circulation Valley Morning Star in Harlingen, Texas.  The publisher says the pay wall was instituted to “allow greater value to our many loyal print-edition subscribers by not giving away the news to non-subscribers.”

I wonder what would have happened if these publishers were around a half-century ago. Would they have tried to shut down their companies’ new media ventures at the time — TV stations — for fear that local news broadcasts were eroding newspaper circulation?   TV did erode newspaper circulation, just as the Internet most certainly does the same.  New data from Pew Research this week shows just how unwilling people are to pay for news online:  82% said they’d go elsewhere if a site erected a tollgate.  If you dissect the numbers a bit more closely, the figure is actually closer to 93%. 

I don’t want newspaper executives to say – like Encyclopedia Britannica executives said in 1996 – We have the most respected brand.  We have quality content.  People will pay for quality content.  We can’t continue to lose subscriptions by giving away all our valuable content.  Britannica thought this was a convergence play as well.  They completely missed something like Google because their internal managers saw the Internet opportunity from an internal perspective.

MTV, Barnes & Noble, and scores of others are in the same camp – thinking they can seize the opportunity under the same brand and the same managers.   Do 18- to 24-year-olds go to MTV.com?  No, they go to Facebook.  When you want to buy a book do you go to BarnesAndNoble.com?  No, you go to Amazon.com.  

The strategy at Britannica, MTV and Barnes & Noble blinded them to the bigger opportunity, and the strategy at many newspapers to use one combined print-and-online sales force to sell newspaper Web sites is likewise blinding them to a bigger opportunity.

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Is CareerBuilder the Super Bowl Winner?

Thursday, January 28th, 2010

During the Super Bowl you’ll see a commercial for one of the Top 5 local online advertising companies. That fact won’t be touted in the commercial, and you’ll be too deep into a belly laugh to realize that what you just saw represents an amazing success story for the newspaper industry. (If you’d like your belly laugh now, read on and I’ll give you a link to the commercial.)

The company is CareerBuilder, which has defied both gravity and business history to become the nation’s No. 1 recruitment Web site in terms of revenue.  Anyone with an understanding of disruptive technology would never have predicted this.  CareerBuilder has been tied to the newspaper industry via ownership (Gannett, McClatchy and Tribune) and by on-the-ground management. Everyone thought ownership by big newspaper companies meant that CareerBuilder’s destiny was to protect print help-wanted advertising, which peaked at $8.7 billion 10 years ago and didn’t even break $1 billion last year.  A decade ago, the likelihood of CareerBuilder’s failure against the unfettered Monster.com was high.

They were wrong.  Last year CareerBuilder hit about $550 million, 10% more than Monster.  According to our records, CareerBuilder was the fifth largest revenue-producer of all local online advertising companies we track.

Largest_local_advertising_companiesIf anything is worthy of a case study, it’s the determination of a few newspaper companies to become the biggest digital cannibal of all to their own recruitment advertising.  The war between the industry-owned CareerBuilder and its archenemy Monster.com is an amazing story worth deep analysis.  And after 15 years, CareerBuilder is definitely in the lead.

Perhaps the greatest expert on all this is Ira Gordon.   Ten years ago he became the Benedict Arnold of the newspaper industry, having spent 19 years helping the industry build and protect its recruitment advertising base, only to switch sides in November 1999 to become a vice president at Monster, the industry’s arch-enemy.

Shortly after that, Ira began showing up in local markets on behalf of Monster. He started off the free seminar for local recruiters with a flip charts showing that town’s newspaper circulation (inevitably down) and another showing its recruitment advertising rates (inevitably up).

While skirmishes between the newspaper industry and Monster had taken place since 1995, Ira’s move – and the deep loss of jobs during the dot-com recession of 2000 – marked the official start of the war.  He’s now a recruitment consultant in New York, and he now believes that CareerBuilder “has got to be called a success.”  With Monster having a formidable brand and being so close in revenues, however, he comes short of declaring CareerBuilder the winner.  “I’d call it a tie.”

“There’s absolutely no doubt that CareerBuilder has also catapulted itself into the No. 1 position,” he said.  “But that doesn’t necessarily mean their success will continue.”  Niche boards, like those run by trade associations, could be a significant threat to both job boards. “What I try to say,” Ira said, “is that niche boards have a natural audience that gravitate toward them.  The only thing the niche boards have to do is get their act together.  They haven’t done that … yet.”

Still, I believe it’s an amazing success story for the newspaper industry.  I can be a pretty funny guy during my presentations, and having spoken to thousands of newspaper executives over the past decade, I can tell you they are the least likely to give up a laugh.  They’re generally a serious crowd compared with the TV people (great hair, best dressed), radio people (more Hawaiian shirts per capita) and Internet people (more art or piercings per square inch of skin).

Which makes the Super Bowl commercials even more amazing.  CareerBuilder represents an example where the newspaper industry really “got it” and stepped out of the way.  You should vote for one of their commercials, and be thankful that some newspaper editor didn’t immediately axe the one marked “too hot for TV.”

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The Wayne Gretzky of Advertising

Friday, January 15th, 2010

When it comes to the future of local advertising, Dave Morgan is someone to watch.  He’s the Wayne Gretzky of the online advertising world – a guy who’s always skating to where the puck will be.  (He even looks like Gretzky.)  And in an interview we did with him recently, I found his thoughts on the future of local media right on the mark.

We interviewed Dave at the Grand Hyatt in New York last month as he was attending an advertising conference where the CEOs of Yahoo and AOL had just spent a lot of time talking about their biggest advertising opportunity:  You guessed it, “local.”

Dave will be back at the Grand Hyatt next month as a keynote speaker at our 2010 Local Online Advertising Conference.  You can see our interview with him on YouTube, or learn more about the conference here.

Dave has been at the forefront (in front of it actually) of ad-serving systems such as 24/7 RealMedia and Tacoda, which he founded and then sold to AOL for $247 million two years ago. He’s steeped in local media.  When I met him 15 years ago, he was general counsel for the Pennsylvania Newspaper Association looking for a way to get step into the Internet skating rink.

So where is local media headed?  “All too often,” he says, “we’ve always seen local as about channels – local is newspapers or local is radio or local is television or local is directories. But that’s not how things are happening in the emerging media economy.  It’s now more about the customers in the market as they’re trying to reach local and they’re trying to understand now how they work with all the different touch points to reach consumers and for the merchants to be able to best exploit their marketing dollars.”

Thought Dave is right, it’s not an easy concept for traditional media companies to grasp.  That’s why we’ve asked the people who are following that path – the Yodles, Local.coms, Reply.coms and other fast-growing local online advertising companies – to address the conference.  They’re offering local advertisers multiple touch points that in the end makes the phone ring or drives store traffic.

Dave believes we’re at a crucial point in the evolution of local media.  “It’s a really important time,” he says, “here in new York City, essentially the headquarrters of advertisers and marketing the world, to have a really important conference focused on local.”

I look forward to hearing more from Dave, and to seeing you there.

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