Posts Tagged ‘local advertising’

Google-Yelp … Nope!

Friday, December 18th, 2009

Google’s rumored $500 million offer to buy Yelp, a site offering consumer reviews, drives home my longstanding belief that the major portals — Google, Microsoft and Yahoo — are becoming the national networks in search of local affiliates like an NBC, CBS, ABC and Fox.

But while the deal apparently fell through over the weekend, I don’t think this it would have been a game changer because Yelp misses a key element: Local salespeople, or at least trusted ones. Just Google “Yelp salespeople” and you’ll understand the stickiness of this situation.

Our conference in February features an entire afternoon exploring these evolving portal-local media relationships. “Partnering with the Portals” features key executives from Google, Microsoft and Yahoo! who are in charge of developing relationships with local media.

Fasted Growing Local Online Marketing Companies of 2009

Fastest Growing Local Online Advertising Companies of 2009

Yelp is indeed a marketplace force. Its numbers weren’t previously made public until last week’s speculation of it being a $50 million company in 2009. While its estimated growth rate — if true — would put Yelp in the Top 5 fastest-growing local online advertising companies in 2009 at 66% growth (see chart), it still doesn’t make our list of the largest.  Craigslist, for instance, has twice the revenues as Yelp.  With a Google deal for Yelp, that might change.

However, I view very few things as “game changers,” and despite its potential magnitude I don’t think this would have made the list. Google has had a tough time making itself look local. Acquiring Yelp would have tied together two very important ends: Google and individual consumers. Real people.

But what they’re missing is an army of real salespeople. Local advertising is sold, not bought, which is to say that SMBs really do need a local sales force to hold their hands. They may go online after midnight and buy AdWords with credit cards, but eventually stop buying because they don’t have enough time to manage the account or understand whether it’s actually working.

It takes a local sales force, and it will take a different type of partnership for Google to really become a local advertising powerhouse. It’ll need to acquire a company with a fairly large local and reputable sales force.

Share and Enjoy:
  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • Facebook
  • Google Bookmarks
  • Reddit
  • Twitter

The Hands of Radio Listeners

Tuesday, December 1st, 2009

Tuesday’s article in The Wall Street Journal about radio’s online efforts painted a perplexing picture of an industry that’s accustomed to targeting, but hasn’t figured out the most targeted medium of all – the Internet.

What’s worse, the target that the radio industry is hitting online is incredibly valuable.

With the help of Ken Dardis at Audio Graphics, we’ve been surveying the massive online “listening” audience” for the past year and have found some incredible things.  I’ll describe these results at next week’s Radio Forecasting Summit at the Harvard Club in New York.  Here’s a preview of some statistics about the estimated 42 million online radio listeners:

  • 42% of them said they bought something as a result of seeing an advertisement on the Web for a local business.
  • 53% of them use online coupons, and half of them use an online coupon at least once a month.
  • 33% of them use the Internet exclusively to look up information about local businesses, and 47% of them use both the Internet and the phone book.

If I were a local advertiser, I’d be very interested in this audience.  Engagement is high, and these listeners have a propensity to search for information about local businesses on the Internet.  Those are some powerful statistics that run the opposite of less-engaged mass broadcast audiences.  (Think of hands on keyboards versus hands on steering wheels.)

Online Radio Listeners and Advertising Survey

Online Radio Listeners and Advertising Survey

So why isn’t the radio industry doing better?  While some will say they are, the facts are pretty clear:  Radio stations will get about $230 million from local online ad sales this year.  Most of it will come from slapping banners on their CallLetter.com Web sites or inserting a $5 CPM commercial in their Internet audio streams.  Meanwhile, the yellow pages industry, which is roughly half the size of the entire radio industry ($10 billion in yellow pages ad revenue, compared with radio’s $19 billion in local and national network radio sales), will get more than six times as much online revenue – about $1.5 billion.    Even the TV guys are getting more than four times as much as radio, which is remarkable considering the fact that there are about half as many local TV salespeople pounding the streets compared with radio salespeople.

Here is one of the problems:  There are 250 million people listening to terrestrial radio, yet only 3 to 5 percent of them are listening to their audio streams on the Internet. To radio GMs, the audience is too small to mess with.   But as I’ve outlined, this audience is probably the distilled portion – the ones most engaged and most likely to purchase something.

I see encouraging signs that the industry is beginning to learn that it’s niche, not mass, that’s making the money on the Internet.  Once they start paying bigger attention to smaller numbers – and realize the value of their hands-on audience – they have a chance of seeing better returns from their Internet ventures.

* Joint survey of 973 online listeners in Dec. 2008-April 2009 via Audio Graphics and Borrell Associates Inc.

Share and Enjoy:
  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • Facebook
  • Google Bookmarks
  • Reddit
  • Twitter

Mobile Advertising’s Gold Rush

Thursday, October 15th, 2009

If you’re rushing toward mobile advertising, you’d better check the local numbers first.

The gold rush is definitely on. It’s the new-new thing. But it sounds a lot like 10 years ago, when everyone was rushing toward the Web. Many people starved on the journey or died when the mine collapsed in 2000.

The headlines scream big numbers for mobile. Here’s one of our own: Mobile advertising to jump 33% in 2010, from $1.6 billion to $2.6 billion (Borrell Associates, Oct. 2009).

Few people seem to understand how that translates down to, say, Knoxville, Tenn., or Montgomery, Ala.

Before you charge up the iPod and hitch the wagons, consider this: The amount spent by advertisers on mobile devices in most markets will likely be in the tens of thousands of dollars next year for applications like couponing, mobile video, and text messaging. That’s barely enough to support software licensing fees, let alone salaries and sales commissions. Overall, we’re estimating that local mobile advertising will hit about $500 million in 2010. Still sounds like a lot – until you start looking down into individual markets.

Let’s take Knoxville. We’re estimating that the total mobile advertising expenditure in Knoxville next year to be about $9 million for the full Designated Marketing Area (DMA). For the Central Business District (CBD), the figure is less than half that.

But wait – that’s TOTAL. The LOCAL portion of that – spent by businesses in Knoxville – is somewhere around 20% of that. And for an application like mobile couponing, you’re looking at one-half of one percent of the total spending, of which 33% is local. I’ll do the math for you: Mobile couponing in Knoxville will fetch less than $10,000 next year. The numbers look relatively the same for other markets and applications. In Atlanta, local mobile text-messaging sales come to about $6.5 million (not bad, but remember, it’s Atlanta), and local mobile couponing should come in at about $100,000 in total spending next year. In Cincinnati, mobile couponing looks to be about a $40,000 local opportunity, and in Montgomery it might be about $10,000.

All of this is to say, temper your expectations. Timing is important. Now’s the time for experimentation and “placeholders” in the mobile space, but overinvesting time and money might cause a premature scale-back when the CFO realizes there isn’t enough money to support the effort.

Mobile is, indeed, a growth category with a lot of marketing opportunity. I definitely wouldn’t ignore it, but I also wouldn’t buy the hype.

(For a list of mobile ad spending estimates for each of the 210 U.S. DMAs for 2009 and 2010, see Appendix C in our recently published “2010 Local Interactive Advertising Outlook.”

Share and Enjoy:
  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • Facebook
  • Google Bookmarks
  • Reddit
  • Twitter

For Whom the Bell Tolls

Wednesday, October 7th, 2009

A seminal event occured on Wall Street last week. At precisely 9:30 a.m. on Oct. 8, Heath Clarke, the CEO of Local.com, rang the NASDAQ opening bell. In so doing, he essentially rang in a new theme on Wall Street: Local is the new black.

Heath Clarke, Chairman & CEO, Local.com

Heath Clarke, Chairman & CEO, Local.com

In a report we released a few hours later, Local.com is listed as one of the Top 3 fastest-growing local online advertising companies in North America. This is a remarkable feat in a year when ad sales are phenomenally depressed for seemingly everyone else. Yet Clarke’s company is seeing growth of 34% this year on revenues that are expected to top $50 million.

Internet advertising down? Not for Local.com, which is aggressively mining the lucrative new frontier of “local.” Clarke’s company – and others like it, such as Yodle (with a whopping 210% growth rate this year) and Yellowbook.com (with a 98% growth rate) — are the ones to study.

I’ve invited the top digital executives at some of these companies to speak at our conference in February. I want to learn more about how these companies are doing it.  The report we released last week shows local Internet advertising rising at a rate of about 12 percent this year. Many legacy media companies who are suffering double-digit declines in online sales growth will find that hard to believe. But as that NASDAQ bell clanged and the trading began, it may as well have been an alarm clock for them, and for anyone else trying to mine digital gold in the local hills.

Share and Enjoy:
  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • Facebook
  • Google Bookmarks
  • Reddit
  • Twitter

Local Ads Moving to Social Networks

Sunday, July 12th, 2009

We just did an assessment of advertising placed on social networking sites and were surprised to find that nearly 20% of all ad spending is by local businesses. Our assumption going into this research was that commercials on social networks were almost purely national. We’re estimating that local advertisers will account for about $641 million of nearly $3.3 billion this year trying to reach consumers via these sites.

Pie ChartIn the scheme of things, it’s still a drop in the bucket. The total is less than 3% of all locally spent online advertising. If we estimated it for individual local markets (we usually don’t do that until an advertising segment reaches $1 billion), it would equate to a few hundred thousand dollars or less in most markets.

Before you rush to create a networking site for Oklahoma City pet lovers or Duluth skydivers, consider this: 57% of all that local social-networking advertising is going to two sites, Facebook and MySpace. They are the only two sites generating more than $100 million from local advertising placement. We’re seeing quite a few local ads placed either through Google or Yahoo’s contextual placement program – probably through an intermediary and not by the advertiser directly.

We’ll be studying the full list of social networking sites and their local ad dollars over the next several days and offering more insights. The relatively small amount may not seem like much, but the swift growth of these networks appears to be causing a corresponding upswing in local ad placement. Keep an eye on Facebook. It is the biggest share-getter. In fact, 74% of its ad revenues are from local businesses.

Download a detail of Social Network ad spending.

Press Release

Share and Enjoy:
  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • Facebook
  • Google Bookmarks
  • Reddit
  • Twitter