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Posts Tagged ‘local advertising’

The Hands of Radio Listeners

Tuesday, December 1st, 2009

Tuesday’s article in The Wall Street Journal about radio’s online efforts painted a perplexing picture of an industry that’s accustomed to targeting, but hasn’t figured out the most targeted medium of all – the Internet.

What’s worse, the target that the radio industry is hitting online is incredibly valuable.

With the help of Ken Dardis at Audio Graphics, we’ve been surveying the massive online “listening” audience” for the past year and have found some incredible things.  I’ll describe these results at next week’s Radio Forecasting Summit at the Harvard Club in New York.  Here’s a preview of some statistics about the estimated 42 million online radio listeners:

  • 42% of them said they bought something as a result of seeing an advertisement on the Web for a local business.
  • 53% of them use online coupons, and half of them use an online coupon at least once a month.
  • 33% of them use the Internet exclusively to look up information about local businesses, and 47% of them use both the Internet and the phone book.

If I were a local advertiser, I’d be very interested in this audience.  Engagement is high, and these listeners have a propensity to search for information about local businesses on the Internet.  Those are some powerful statistics that run the opposite of less-engaged mass broadcast audiences.  (Think of hands on keyboards versus hands on steering wheels.)

Online Radio Listeners and Advertising Survey

Online Radio Listeners and Advertising Survey

So why isn’t the radio industry doing better?  While some will say they are, the facts are pretty clear:  Radio stations will get about $230 million from local online ad sales this year.  Most of it will come from slapping banners on their CallLetter.com Web sites or inserting a $5 CPM commercial in their Internet audio streams.  Meanwhile, the yellow pages industry, which is roughly half the size of the entire radio industry ($10 billion in yellow pages ad revenue, compared with radio’s $19 billion in local and national network radio sales), will get more than six times as much online revenue – about $1.5 billion.    Even the TV guys are getting more than four times as much as radio, which is remarkable considering the fact that there are about half as many local TV salespeople pounding the streets compared with radio salespeople.

Here is one of the problems:  There are 250 million people listening to terrestrial radio, yet only 3 to 5 percent of them are listening to their audio streams on the Internet. To radio GMs, the audience is too small to mess with.   But as I’ve outlined, this audience is probably the distilled portion – the ones most engaged and most likely to purchase something.

I see encouraging signs that the industry is beginning to learn that it’s niche, not mass, that’s making the money on the Internet.  Once they start paying bigger attention to smaller numbers – and realize the value of their hands-on audience – they have a chance of seeing better returns from their Internet ventures.

* Joint survey of 973 online listeners in Dec. 2008-April 2009 via Audio Graphics and Borrell Associates Inc.

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Mobile Advertising’s Gold Rush

Thursday, October 15th, 2009

If you’re rushing toward mobile advertising, you’d better check the local numbers first.

The gold rush is definitely on. It’s the new-new thing. But it sounds a lot like 10 years ago, when everyone was rushing toward the Web. Many people starved on the journey or died when the mine collapsed in 2000.

The headlines scream big numbers for mobile. Here’s one of our own: Mobile advertising to jump 33% in 2010, from $1.6 billion to $2.6 billion (Borrell Associates, Oct. 2009).

Few people seem to understand how that translates down to, say, Knoxville, Tenn., or Montgomery, Ala.

Before you charge up the iPod and hitch the wagons, consider this: The amount spent by advertisers on mobile devices in most markets will likely be in the tens of thousands of dollars next year for applications like couponing, mobile video, and text messaging. That’s barely enough to support software licensing fees, let alone salaries and sales commissions. Overall, we’re estimating that local mobile advertising will hit about $500 million in 2010. Still sounds like a lot – until you start looking down into individual markets.

Let’s take Knoxville. We’re estimating that the total mobile advertising expenditure in Knoxville next year to be about $9 million for the full Designated Marketing Area (DMA). For the Central Business District (CBD), the figure is less than half that.

But wait – that’s TOTAL. The LOCAL portion of that – spent by businesses in Knoxville – is somewhere around 20% of that. And for an application like mobile couponing, you’re looking at one-half of one percent of the total spending, of which 33% is local. I’ll do the math for you: Mobile couponing in Knoxville will fetch less than $10,000 next year. The numbers look relatively the same for other markets and applications. In Atlanta, local mobile text-messaging sales come to about $6.5 million (not bad, but remember, it’s Atlanta), and local mobile couponing should come in at about $100,000 in total spending next year. In Cincinnati, mobile couponing looks to be about a $40,000 local opportunity, and in Montgomery it might be about $10,000.

All of this is to say, temper your expectations. Timing is important. Now’s the time for experimentation and “placeholders” in the mobile space, but overinvesting time and money might cause a premature scale-back when the CFO realizes there isn’t enough money to support the effort.

Mobile is, indeed, a growth category with a lot of marketing opportunity. I definitely wouldn’t ignore it, but I also wouldn’t buy the hype.

(For a list of mobile ad spending estimates for each of the 210 U.S. DMAs for 2009 and 2010, see Appendix C in our recently published “2010 Local Interactive Advertising Outlook.”

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For Whom the Bell Tolls

Wednesday, October 7th, 2009

A seminal event occured on Wall Street last week. At precisely 9:30 a.m. on Oct. 8, Heath Clarke, the CEO of Local.com, rang the NASDAQ opening bell. In so doing, he essentially rang in a new theme on Wall Street: Local is the new black.

Heath Clarke, Chairman & CEO, Local.com

Heath Clarke, Chairman & CEO, Local.com

In a report we released a few hours later, Local.com is listed as one of the Top 3 fastest-growing local online advertising companies in North America. This is a remarkable feat in a year when ad sales are phenomenally depressed for seemingly everyone else. Yet Clarke’s company is seeing growth of 34% this year on revenues that are expected to top $50 million.

Internet advertising down? Not for Local.com, which is aggressively mining the lucrative new frontier of “local.” Clarke’s company – and others like it, such as Yodle (with a whopping 210% growth rate this year) and Yellowbook.com (with a 98% growth rate) — are the ones to study.

I’ve invited the top digital executives at some of these companies to speak at our conference in February. I want to learn more about how these companies are doing it.  The report we released last week shows local Internet advertising rising at a rate of about 12 percent this year. Many legacy media companies who are suffering double-digit declines in online sales growth will find that hard to believe. But as that NASDAQ bell clanged and the trading began, it may as well have been an alarm clock for them, and for anyone else trying to mine digital gold in the local hills.

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