Posts Tagged ‘local online advertising’

A CEO Who “Gets It.”

Tuesday, February 9th, 2010

I am very proud to announce that the recipient of the 2010 Borrell Award of Merit for “Innovator of the Year” is Colleen Brown, CEO and President of Fisher Communications.

We had a range of remarkable people to pick from.  As you can imagine, the Internet and all its apps afford a tremendous amount of creativity.  But remember that we had a litmus test for all of our awards – results, and financial viability.  We didn’t want to select someone who merely implemented a great idea or rose to their 15 minutes of fame on a groundswell of page views.  We wanted to select someone who, through some unusual feat, created something that not only caused us to say, Wow!, but also delivered sustainable value to their company.

That person is Colleen Brown.  During our opening session at our conference in New York Monday, we heard from Colleen’s vice president of interactive, Troy McGuire, that the company hit two milestones last month:  it now has more than 100 hyperlocal sites, and more importantly, surpassed a whopping 1,000 advertisers.  And they didn’t start launching those sites until August 2009.

We could have selected Troy or some of the other geniuses in the Fisher Interactive camp for this award, and they would certainly be deserving.  But frankly, we believe that it’s the CEO who creates the environment that spawns innovation, holds the bean counters at bay, and demagnetizes the interactive operations enough to allow it to grow in ways that traditional brand managers might thwart.

When you privately ask an interactive manager at a local media company to talk about the support he’s getting from the CEO, you sometimes get more expletives than accolades.   But I think this quote from Fisher’s senior vice president, Troy McGuire, says a lot.  “She’s been unflagging in her support,” he said.  “She has gone well beyond what a typical broadcast company CEO might do to ensure our success.”

What’s happening in Seattle and at other Fisher properties is counter-culture change.  And counter-culture change doesn’t happen with just lip service, or with a CEO who offers moral support and then lets the Interactive manager duke out the details.  Or when the new venture is starved of resources because the mothership is suffering a bad year.   Change may happen in the ranks, but it has to come from the top.

And at the top of this remarkable story is one remarkable CEO.  We’re very pleased to give this award to Colleen Brown.

Share and Enjoy:
  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • Facebook
  • Google Bookmarks
  • Reddit
  • Twitter

The Jeff Jarvis Interview

Friday, January 8th, 2010

I had a discussion with author and CUNY professor Jeff Jarvis recently and was struck by his passion about hyperlocal journalism on the Web – something I’ve never felt had a sustainable business model.  You can see the interview on our YouTube Channel.

Jeff’s passion reminded me of a book I sent last year to Borrell Associates employees.  It was titled, “It’s Not What You Sell, It’s What You Stand For.” The book describes companies that not only have great products and services, but also a purpose.  Our purpose:  to save that noble enterprise called journalism.  As corny as it may sound, it’s what we believe we are doing.  We’re helping local media companies survive financially so they can continue to serve and protect their communities.

Jeff shares that purpose, though I must admit he wins the prize for being more passionate about it.

Jeff Jarvis discusses hyperlocal site profitability

Jeff Jarvis discusses hyperlocal site profitability

Jeff heads up the Interactive Journalism Program at the City University of New York.  I spoke with him in New York a few weeks ago as we prepared for his keynote address at our conference next month.  (We just posted a list of attending companies – we’ve got quite a diverse crowd interested in this topic.)   Jeff has always expressed a great clarity and strong opinion on the topic of journalism.  When I asked, “Why are you so passionate about this?” his response was, “Because I believe in journalism. Because I care about journalism.  I teach journalism.  I want journalism to not just survive, but to prosper and grow in the new world. And I believe it can.”

I believe it can, too.  But I don’t believe that it can survive on the Web without a viable business model.   And if it doesn’t, and if more newspapers shut down or local broadcast TV stations cease their newscasts because they’re too expensive to produce, the bright light of good journalism will get dimmer and perhaps become so intertwined with commercial messages as to become powerless.

Is the Web a viable replacement?  Can it — as Jeff says — not only survive on the Web, but prosper and grow?  I think so.  And I think the Web might be an even more powerful educator and equalizer in society.

But it won’t get there unless we make it financially viable.  Jeff’s panel at our conference includes some people who are generating enough revenue to not only keep the sites running and pay editors and journalists, but also turn a profit.  We’ll be posting a video interview on our YouTube channel next week with one of them — a remarkable story from Fisher Broadcasting seeing financial success with dozens of hyperlocal sites in Seattle.

These are the people with a purpose, and I’m very eager to see them succeed.

Share and Enjoy:
  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • Facebook
  • Google Bookmarks
  • Reddit
  • Twitter

5 Things to Watch–and Act On

Monday, December 14th, 2009

We have issued our Top 5 recommendations for local online advertising in 2010. They’re pretty straightforward:  Identify and copy the fastest growers, start partnering with other companies, offer “promotions” services to advertisers, monitor but be cautious about mobile, and dive into video advertising. But I thought I’d also offers some predictions for 2010 that might startle you.

First, I’m excited to announce that we have a new list of speakers we’ll be announcing this week for our Feb. 8-9 conference in New York. In the spirit of identifying and copying the fastest-growing local online advertising companies, we’ve gone to the trouble of identifying them for you — and getting their top executives to stand up at our conference and tell you why they’ve become the new darlings of Main Street.  We’ve also secured speakers from companies like Fisher Broadcasting, which has launched 43 hyperlocal sites in Seattle that are fast becoming profitable, as well as leading revenue producers in email, video, promotions and paid search.  Wait ’til you see the final agenda.

OK, on to the startling things.  I believe that 2010 will see a clear divide between the local media companies that are crossing the gorge and those being left behind.  Positive growth in Internet revenues will be the delineator.  Those who continue to see declines will clearly have tied their Internet operations too closely to their legacy media companies or will have formulated products that don’t resonate with Main Street advertisers.  Other predictions:

Largest Local Online Advertising Companies, 2009

Largest Local Online Advertising Companies, 2009

1.  Newspapers rebound.  Look for a 2-4% increase in newspaper ad revenues next year.  Smaller papers might fare better.  Those who make the digital transition will see up to 20% of their total ad revenues coming from the Internet next year.  The Yahoo-newspaper partnerships will generate $200 million to $300 million in geo-targeted banner sales.

2.  Local Internet advertising grows 5-9% next year, making it harder than ever for many companies to ride whatever tide is left.

3.  Mobile advertising skyrockets (on a small base), but local ad buys remain short-term and experimental.

4.  Cable companies dive deeper into local Internet sales.  Look for acquisitions and partnerships like we saw with the Yellow Pages in the early to mid-1990s.

5.  Yellow Pages continue a precipitous decline, high single digits but perhaps double digits for some.  Meanwhile, their Internet revenues will grow to comprise one-fifth of ad revenues.

Predictions are no more than educated guesses, so I really didn’t want to spend too much time on speculation.  The recommendations are key to what I think you should be watching.  The largest local online advertising companies are interesting to observe, but the fastest-growing ones above $25 million in revenue are the ones worth studying — and copying.

I hope you can make it to our conference.  We’re going to spend a lot of time dissecting these companies and learning why local advertisers have become so enamored of what they’re offering.

Share and Enjoy:
  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • Facebook
  • Google Bookmarks
  • Reddit
  • Twitter

The Hands of Radio Listeners

Tuesday, December 1st, 2009

Tuesday’s article in The Wall Street Journal about radio’s online efforts painted a perplexing picture of an industry that’s accustomed to targeting, but hasn’t figured out the most targeted medium of all – the Internet.

What’s worse, the target that the radio industry is hitting online is incredibly valuable.

With the help of Ken Dardis at Audio Graphics, we’ve been surveying the massive online “listening” audience” for the past year and have found some incredible things.  I’ll describe these results at next week’s Radio Forecasting Summit at the Harvard Club in New York.  Here’s a preview of some statistics about the estimated 42 million online radio listeners:

  • 42% of them said they bought something as a result of seeing an advertisement on the Web for a local business.
  • 53% of them use online coupons, and half of them use an online coupon at least once a month.
  • 33% of them use the Internet exclusively to look up information about local businesses, and 47% of them use both the Internet and the phone book.

If I were a local advertiser, I’d be very interested in this audience.  Engagement is high, and these listeners have a propensity to search for information about local businesses on the Internet.  Those are some powerful statistics that run the opposite of less-engaged mass broadcast audiences.  (Think of hands on keyboards versus hands on steering wheels.)

Online Radio Listeners and Advertising Survey

Online Radio Listeners and Advertising Survey

So why isn’t the radio industry doing better?  While some will say they are, the facts are pretty clear:  Radio stations will get about $230 million from local online ad sales this year.  Most of it will come from slapping banners on their CallLetter.com Web sites or inserting a $5 CPM commercial in their Internet audio streams.  Meanwhile, the yellow pages industry, which is roughly half the size of the entire radio industry ($10 billion in yellow pages ad revenue, compared with radio’s $19 billion in local and national network radio sales), will get more than six times as much online revenue – about $1.5 billion.    Even the TV guys are getting more than four times as much as radio, which is remarkable considering the fact that there are about half as many local TV salespeople pounding the streets compared with radio salespeople.

Here is one of the problems:  There are 250 million people listening to terrestrial radio, yet only 3 to 5 percent of them are listening to their audio streams on the Internet. To radio GMs, the audience is too small to mess with.   But as I’ve outlined, this audience is probably the distilled portion – the ones most engaged and most likely to purchase something.

I see encouraging signs that the industry is beginning to learn that it’s niche, not mass, that’s making the money on the Internet.  Once they start paying bigger attention to smaller numbers – and realize the value of their hands-on audience – they have a chance of seeing better returns from their Internet ventures.

* Joint survey of 973 online listeners in Dec. 2008-April 2009 via Audio Graphics and Borrell Associates Inc.

Share and Enjoy:
  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • Facebook
  • Google Bookmarks
  • Reddit
  • Twitter

Radio lags, but shouldn’t

Saturday, October 24th, 2009

I’m puzzled by the radio industry. As I wrote in a recent Inside Radio column, it has the greatest potential and the weakest realization of the Internet’s possibilities.

Our most recent assessment of the radio industry’s efforts shows that it is on track to get $231 million from local online ad sales this year, up 5% from 2008. Sounds like a lot, until you consider that competitors in the TV, newspaper, yellow pages space are getting more than $1 billion each from local online sales.

Despite radio’s potential, I don’t see the industry achieving more than a 2% share of online advertising anytime soon. Our forecast calls for radio to see a slight uptick next year in interactive sales, growing 15% to $265 million. (This is just for local radio stations; if you add online sales from national radio sites like CBSRadio.com and ESPNRadio.com, the overall total comes to about $380 million this year.)

Radio Stations Local Online Revenue 2003-2012

Radio Stations Local Online Revenue 2003-2012

The “potential” comes from the fact that radio has the second-largest number of feet-on-the-street sellers of local advertising – about 18,000 in all. Newspapers have the most at 31,000, and yellow pages the third-largest sales force at about 14,000. But the radio industry also has something that no other local media competitor has: The only daily produced local entertainment program, and a deep understanding of social networking. Think of the strong affinities that form around music genres such as country, classical, adult contemporary, hip-hop, sports talk, politics, and hard rock.

Isn’t the Internet about social networking? Aren’t advertisers turning to the Internet for ways to promote themselves and connect with “engaged” niche audiences like this?

Radio operators know this business model well. A few are indeed leading the way, like Long Island Radio Group’s money-saving and coupon site, www.yourli.com. The group has branched out beyond the CallLetter.com mindset and is using the Web to reach into the space once dominated by newspapers and direct mail. Radio One is also leading with sites like www.elev8.com and www.blackplanet.com.

I wish others would take the cue.

NOTE: If you’re interested in hearing more, I’ll be highlighting some of the top performers in the industry at the Radio Ink Forecast Summit Dec. 8 in New York. If you’re planning to attend and would like to meet, please let me know. We’ll also, we’ll be delving deeper into radio’s opportunity and highlighting a few of the industry’s most innovative stations during our own conference in February. Hope to see you there!

Share and Enjoy:
  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • Facebook
  • Google Bookmarks
  • Reddit
  • Twitter

Time for strange bedfellows

Friday, July 24th, 2009

strange bedfellowsCraigslist, Google, Monster, Autotrader… for local media the list of outside competition is growing longer every minute.  In old westerns, the scene would be akin to Indians popping up over the horizon, arrows ablaze, pouring down on the covered wagons of the cowboys.

More Indians have shown up – Yahoo said Tuesday it had signed a deal with AT&T for its sales force to sell Yahoo display ads to its small-business customers.  What this means is that over 5,000 AT&T reps will now have access to sell advertising on Yahoo to small and medium businesses competing with local media sites for a share of local ad spend.

On his blog Content Bridges, Ken Doctor summed up the Yahoo/AT&T partnership this way: “[The] Yahoo/AT&T deal represents new competition for beleaguered newspaper companies. Once AT&T sales reps got up to speed (and that’s certainly an intriguing question, given the newspaper company implementation experience), they’ll be competing head-on with newspaper reps.”

With major pure-play partnerships popping more often up how can a local media site compete against the big guns?  Newspapers, TV stations and radio groups need to dig deep themselves and begin their own partnerships at the local level. It is time for strange bedfellows. Cross-selling and using traditional media to drive traffic to the local site becomes paramount. The power of local media is what you are selling, it is your distinct advantage, over the outside, national networks. Local advertisers look to your Internet sales team for expert advice and they must be trained in integrated marketing campaigns and loaded with the latest products. Yes, you should sell your competition’s traditional media if it fits the campaign.

The quickest way to gain trust with a local business is to make their ad campaign successful utilizing the benefits of social networks, video, e-mail, search, promotions AND newspapers, TV, radio and even billboards.  Call your local media competitor today and break bread. It is time to start training your Interactive sales team on the benefits of selling integrated marketing campaigns.

It is time to circle the wagons.

Share and Enjoy:
  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • Facebook
  • Google Bookmarks
  • Reddit
  • Twitter

Local Ads Moving to Social Networks

Sunday, July 12th, 2009

We just did an assessment of advertising placed on social networking sites and were surprised to find that nearly 20% of all ad spending is by local businesses. Our assumption going into this research was that commercials on social networks were almost purely national. We’re estimating that local advertisers will account for about $641 million of nearly $3.3 billion this year trying to reach consumers via these sites.

Pie ChartIn the scheme of things, it’s still a drop in the bucket. The total is less than 3% of all locally spent online advertising. If we estimated it for individual local markets (we usually don’t do that until an advertising segment reaches $1 billion), it would equate to a few hundred thousand dollars or less in most markets.

Before you rush to create a networking site for Oklahoma City pet lovers or Duluth skydivers, consider this: 57% of all that local social-networking advertising is going to two sites, Facebook and MySpace. They are the only two sites generating more than $100 million from local advertising placement. We’re seeing quite a few local ads placed either through Google or Yahoo’s contextual placement program – probably through an intermediary and not by the advertiser directly.

We’ll be studying the full list of social networking sites and their local ad dollars over the next several days and offering more insights. The relatively small amount may not seem like much, but the swift growth of these networks appears to be causing a corresponding upswing in local ad placement. Keep an eye on Facebook. It is the biggest share-getter. In fact, 74% of its ad revenues are from local businesses.

Download a detail of Social Network ad spending.

Press Release

Share and Enjoy:
  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • Facebook
  • Google Bookmarks
  • Reddit
  • Twitter

Local online advertising may be up

Tuesday, June 30th, 2009

We take a lot of pride in our projections, which have been on target year after year. But we may have been far too conservative earlier this year when we projected that local online advertising would grow 8% in 2009. At the end of the first quarter, the increase looked closer to 11%. When we finish collecting our second-quarter data in the next few weeks, I’m certain the number will be quite a bit higher.

We initially saw three things happening in 2009: 1) lots of small businesses would collapse or severely curtail ALL ad spending; 2) local online advertising simply HAD to slow down after 10 years of double-digit growth; 3) and high advertiser churn-out rates for search, banners and video would begin taking a toll. While all of those are still correct to some degree, #2 is apparently less true than all the others.

Phenomenal as it may seem, we’re getting data indicating triple-digit growth for some companies selling interactive advertising. These are definitely the “get it” companies that have hired dedicated sales forces and are plowing ahead with the products advertisers are buying. We aren’t, however, seeing triple-digit growth from companies that continue to labor under the delusion that “convergence sales” is a viable strategy.

Right now we’re pegging local online advertising at $14.03 billion, up from our estimate of $13.3 billion issued back in January. As I said, this full-year estimate is likely to inch even higher when we get our midyear data.

Stay tuned to this blog. Over the next few weeks we’ll highlight a few examples of where that triple-digit growth is coming from, and how they’re doing it.

Share and Enjoy:
  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • Facebook
  • Google Bookmarks
  • Reddit
  • Twitter